Geral
Mulher em estado grave após ser atingida por um raio
A liderança brasileira no ranking de incidência de raios por ano não é pequena.
O Brasil lidera o ranking de países com incidências de raios, com uma média de 77,8 milhões de registros por ano. O número, no entanto, é pequeno, se comparado ao total registrado nos dois últimos anos. Em 2021, caíram 154 milhões de raios em território brasileiro. Em 2020 foram 126 milhões.
A liderança brasileira no ranking de incidência de raios por ano não é pequena. O segundo lugar, ocupado pela República Democrática do Congo, onde incidem, anualmente, 43,2 milhões de raios. Em terceiro lugar estão os Estados Unidos, com 35 milhões de raios por ano, seguidos de Austrália (31,2 milhões de raios), China (28 milhões) e Índia (26,9 milhões).
Sobre a incidência de raios observada no final do século 21 no Brasil, o coordenador do Inpe explica que, segundo a literatura, ela foi feita a partir da relação dos raios com algumas condições meteorológicas previstas pelos Modelos Climáticos Globais (MCG).
“Estes modelos, diferentemente dos modelos meteorológicos rotineiramente utilizados na previsão do tempo, permitem estimar as condições meteorológicas para períodos mais distantes, da ordem de décadas. Para minimizar as incertezas nos resultados gerados pelo MCG, rodamos o modelo 12 vezes considerando pequenas diferenças na evolução das condições ambientais e calculamos a média dos resultados”, disse.
A probabilidade de uma pessoa morrer atingida por um raio no Brasil ao longo de sua vida é de um em 25.000. Embora pareça pequena, a chance é maior do que aquela de ser mordido por um cachorro (um em 100.000). Essa probabilidade aumenta em até 2,5 vezes se você estiver desprotegido em uma área descampada durante uma tempestade típica, que produz cerca de três raios por minuto – neste caso, em apenas 30 minutos, a probabilidade de morrer atingido por um raio é em torno de um em 10.000, similar à de sofrer um acidente aéreo. Para pessoas que estejam em áreas descampadas durante uma tempestade mais forte, que produz cerca de 30 raios por minuto, a probabilidade de morrer atingido por um raio é de um em 1.000, ou seja, 25 vezes maior.
Na Italia
Uma mulher de 54 anos sofreu ferimentos graves na tarde deste domingo após ser atingida por um raio durante uma excursão em Bréscia, na Itália.
Equipes de resgate foram acionadas para o local do acidente e chegaram imediatamente. A mulher foi levada para o hospital de Bergamo, onde está internada na Unidade de Terapia Intensiva e, de acordo com a imprensa italiana, seu estado é considerado “gravíssimo”.
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